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Economists at ING think that the post-FOMC 1.11-1.13 range in EUR/USD has now given way to a 1.13-1.15 range, which may hold into the March ECB meeting.
“With the ECB dropping its forward guidance and markets heavily speculating on 2022 tightening, EUR/USD may find consolidation within the 1.13-1.15 range in the run-up to the pivotal 10 March ECB meeting.”
“We continue to see some moderate downside risk for EUR/USD for the remainder of the year, although we acknowledge that sub-1.10 levels now look too extreme, and instead favour a flatter profile around 1.12-1.13 into year-end.”