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Room for monetary policy is relatively small – PBOC’s Lu

FXStreet - Lu Lei, PBOC's Research Bureau Head crossed the wires earlier on the day, noting that deflation pressure as well as yuan exchange rate volatility is expected to rise this year.

Key Quotes:

Monetary easing to add capital outflow pressure

Room for monetary policy is relatively small

Rate/RRR cut to fuel financial risk accumulation

Easing monetary condition to boost leverage ratio

Sees increasing risks with corporate debt

Deflation pressure to rise in 2016

Sees 2016 gdp at around 6.5%, forecasts CPI around 1.3%

2016 M2/Total social financing growth between 11-13%

Yuan exchange rate volatility to rise in 2016

China: Large liquidity injections from the PBoC – Nomura

Research Team at Nomura, suggests that according to their Monetary Policy Signal Index (MPSI; Bloomberg ticker: NMEIMPSI) – estimated based on a set of economic and financial indicators – suggests a high likelihood (0.93) of policy easing in February, similar to the final reading for January.
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AUD: Warning signs for Australian economy – ANZ

Research Team at ANZ, suggests that yesterday’s building approvals, international trade and services sector data for December 2015 highlighted a few risks to the Australian economy.
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