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24 Apr 2015
Investors are eager to know when the Federal Reserve will act - FXStreet
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXStreet offered an insightful preview of the next FOMC meeting.
Key Quotes:
"For the most, expectations are of a no change in the economic policy this time, and there is no scheduled press conference for after the meeting. A press conference will only take place if the Central Bank decides to hike rates by surprise, something quite unlikely at the time being."
"On its latest March meeting the Central Bank decided to remove the world "patient" as scheduled, but at the same time added that "an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate remains unlikely at the April FOMC meeting," and that "just because we removed the word 'patient' does not mean we will become impatient.""
"Officers were not that optimistic about growth, and expressed concerns about a strong dollar, by stating that "economic growth has moderated somewhat” and “export growth has weakened.”"
"FED's officers rhetoric over the last month decreased from hawkish by the end of March, to clearly dovish during the last couple of weeks."
"Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart surprised with a hawkish stance late March when he said he would increase interest rates midyear, but finally recon Q1 data was "notably weak" returning to its usual dovish stance."
"The Central Bank may still raise rates in June, but it has made it clear that a rate hike is data dependant, with inflation and employment being the keys. Should inflation and employment readings disappoint after this meeting, September will be a more likely bet for a move."
"According to the Minutes of the FED's March meeting, several policymakers said that the Central Bank should raise its benchmark interest rate in June, although others wanted the move to take place "later in the year.""
"So far, the range time for a rate hike has been therefore set in between June and September."
"Considering the slower economic growth seen during the first quarter of this 2015 investors are weighing the latest, as the most probable date for a move."
"Investors are eager to know when the Federal Reserve will act, but the most probable scenario is that they won't get much clues this week. Attention will shift then towards the Minutes to be released later in the May and any change in the wording of the statement."
Key Quotes:
"For the most, expectations are of a no change in the economic policy this time, and there is no scheduled press conference for after the meeting. A press conference will only take place if the Central Bank decides to hike rates by surprise, something quite unlikely at the time being."
"On its latest March meeting the Central Bank decided to remove the world "patient" as scheduled, but at the same time added that "an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate remains unlikely at the April FOMC meeting," and that "just because we removed the word 'patient' does not mean we will become impatient.""
"Officers were not that optimistic about growth, and expressed concerns about a strong dollar, by stating that "economic growth has moderated somewhat” and “export growth has weakened.”"
"FED's officers rhetoric over the last month decreased from hawkish by the end of March, to clearly dovish during the last couple of weeks."
"Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart surprised with a hawkish stance late March when he said he would increase interest rates midyear, but finally recon Q1 data was "notably weak" returning to its usual dovish stance."
"The Central Bank may still raise rates in June, but it has made it clear that a rate hike is data dependant, with inflation and employment being the keys. Should inflation and employment readings disappoint after this meeting, September will be a more likely bet for a move."
"According to the Minutes of the FED's March meeting, several policymakers said that the Central Bank should raise its benchmark interest rate in June, although others wanted the move to take place "later in the year.""
"So far, the range time for a rate hike has been therefore set in between June and September."
"Considering the slower economic growth seen during the first quarter of this 2015 investors are weighing the latest, as the most probable date for a move."
"Investors are eager to know when the Federal Reserve will act, but the most probable scenario is that they won't get much clues this week. Attention will shift then towards the Minutes to be released later in the May and any change in the wording of the statement."