EUR/USD: Short squeeze – OCBC

The Euro (EUR) rebounded as US Dollar (USD) bulls paused. Pair was last at 1.0575 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

ECB speakers to take over the narrative this week

“Daily momentum remains bearish bias though there are signs of it waning while RSI shows tentative signs of turning higher from near oversold conditions. Falling wedge and inverted hanging man (last Fri) observed. Technical signs suggest EUR bears may be feeling the fatigue and risk of short squeeze/ bullish reversal is not ruled out in the near term. Resistance at 1.06, 1.0740 (21 DMA), 1.0860 (200 DMA). Support at 1.05, 1.0450 levels.”

“This week brings plenty of ECBspeaks (about 26 officials this week), including Lagarde in Frankfurt (Fri). Overnight, Lagarde urged Europe to pool its resources in areas like defence and climate as productivity growth falters and world fragments into rival blocs.”

“Stournaras said that ECB is almost certain to cut interest rates by a quarter point in Dec while Makhlouf said there is no rush to lower rates at a faster pace. Nagel warned that trade tensions can lead to greater inflationary pressures.”