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USD/JPY to move downward on higher 10-year JGB yields – CIBC

Japanese flows outward should ebb over time. Thus, economists at CIBC Capital Markets expect the USD/JPY pair to edge lower.

10-year JGB yields should drift towards 100 bps

Over time, 10-year JGB yields should drift towards 100 bps – which is where they were in the years leading up to Abenomics. This is incredibly important given that Japanese investors have been large net creditors to the rest of the world precisely because domestic yields were low. 

A rise higher in 10-year JGB yields suggests that less capital will be exported outside of the country and supports downside USD/JPY over the projection horizon.

USD/JPY – Q3 2023: 141 | Q4 2023: 135 

 

USD/CHF seen edging back down to 0.86 on a one-month view – Rabobank

Economists at Rabobank expect the USD to remain well supported against the Euro. However, the USD/CHF pair is seen lower at 0.86 on a one-month view.
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A rising USD/CNH translates into more pressure on JPY, AUD and NZD – SocGen

USD/CNH tracks yield differentials almost as well as USD/JPY. Kit Juckes, Chief Global FX Strategist at Société Générale, analyzes FX markets – that a
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